Slowing But Growing (With Some Cracks)
In this report, we’ll review the most recent Employment Situation data and use our Leading and Coincident Employment Indexes, as well as the breakdown of
In this report, we’ll review the most recent Employment Situation data and use our Leading and Coincident Employment Indexes, as well as the breakdown of
What You Should Look For In This Week’s Jobs Report The fate of the next Federal Reserve decision will be decided on Friday. If the
Interest rates in the United States and around the world have been declining for decades. More specifically, “real” interest rates have been declining in what
This was a very busy week of macro data and events, including updates to the CPI, retail sales, industrial production, initial jobless claims, and the
This was a very light week of economic news, so in this update, we’ll focus on the weekly labor data to help refine and update
The BLS modeled that the economy added 339,000 jobs in May, much higher than consensus expectations. When the headline nonfarm payrolls number surprises strongly to
An objective reading of the business cycle shows that a recession in the United States is imminent. Leading indicators of the business cycle continue to
The economy continues to decelerate, and the most recent data adds significant evidence to the possibility the economy entered a recession last year or at
The US housing market is in the middle of its 6th major downturn since the late 1960s. Home prices are declining in 75% of major
With updates for Retail Sales and Industrial Production, we now have a majority of the Coincident data for the April reporting period. April data will
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